Analyzing Josh Hader and the Astros’ Slow Start: Why the Numbers Are Deceiving

Josh Hader and the Astros have had a rough start to the season, but a deeper dive into the numbers reveals that there is still plenty of reason for optimism. Hader, who sports an unimpressive 8.38 ERA and only two saves, is actually performing much better than his traditional stats suggest.

Despite his high ERA, Hader boasts a strong 2.39 SIERA and an impressive K-BB% of 25.6, which is better than his numbers from last season when he had a stellar 1.28 ERA. Additionally, his .476 BABIP is significantly higher than his career average, indicating that he has been unlucky with balls in play. With a career-high ground ball rate and a move to a team with a solid defense in Houston, Hader’s luck is likely to turn around soon.

The Astros as a team have also struggled, with the fewest saves in baseball and a low win total. However, projections suggest that they will turn things around and start winning more games, providing Hader with more save opportunities in the future.

Despite the slow start, Hader remains a top-three fantasy closer and should be expected to improve as the season progresses. With his strong underlying numbers and the potential for more save chances on a winning team, Hader is poised for a bounce-back performance in the coming weeks.